March Madness First Round: Three Underdog Picks With High Betting Value

March Madness First Round: Three Underdog Picks With High Betting Value

By Michael Harrison

March 22, 2025 at 12:51 PM

Three compelling March Madness first-round underdogs offer significant betting value in the 2025 NCAA Tournament:

Drake (+5.5) vs Missouri

  • Drake's elite defense (8th best in last three games) matches well against Missouri's 5th-ranked offense
  • Line opened higher than expected at +5.5, suggesting potential value
  • Drake has legitimate upset potential beyond just covering the spread

Yale (+7.5) vs Texas A&M

  • Yale's strong 37% three-point shooting matches up well against A&M's poor perimeter defense
  • Slow-paced game style favors Yale keeping it close
  • Texas A&M's favorite status appears overvalued at -7.5

Liberty (+5.5) vs Oregon

  • Liberty leads nation in effective field goal percentage
  • Their slow-paced, unconventional offense will disrupt Oregon's preferred 76 points per game scoring
  • Strong potential for straight-up victory makes +5.5 particularly valuable

Man wearing blue shirt

Man wearing blue shirt

Best Available Odds:

  • Drake +5.5 (-102) at DraftKings
  • Yale +7.5 (-110) at FanDuel
  • Liberty +5.5 (-110) at DraftKings

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John Hyslop smiling at camera

John Hyslop smiling at camera

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