Kent State vs Miami (OH): MACtion Wednesday Preview, Odds and Picks for Week 12

Kent State vs Miami (OH): MACtion Wednesday Preview, Odds and Picks for Week 12

By Michael Harrison

November 19, 2024 at 09:20 PM

Miami (OH) hosts winless Kent State in a Week 12 MAC matchup on Wednesday, November 13. The RedHawks are heavily favored as 30.5-point favorites with a total of 45.5 points.

NFL players during a football game

NFL players during a football game

Key Factors:

  • Kent State starting QB Tommy Ulatowski is questionable (undisclosed injury)
  • Miami (OH) has won 4 straight games
  • Kent State is 0-9 (0-5 MAC), Miami is 8-4 (4-1 MAC)

QB Situation Impact:

  • With Ulatowski starting (4 games): Kent State averages 24 points
  • Without Ulatowski (5 games): Kent State averages 8.2 points
  • Freshman backup Ruel Tomlinson struggled last week: 8/16, 62 yards, 1 INT

Team Statistics:

  • Kent State ranks last in MAC for yards, rushing defense, scoring defense
  • Miami averages 23 points and 352 yards per game
  • RedHawks defense allows < 200 passing yards and 20 points per game

Betting Analysis:

  • If Ulatowski plays: Kent State +30.5 (-110) is recommended
  • If Ulatowski sits: Under 45.5 (-110) is the better play
  • Miami's strong defense but limited offense supports the under
  • RedHawks likely to win but may struggle to cover large spread without Ulatowski playing

The betting recommendation hinges entirely on Ulatowski's availability. His presence gives Kent State's offense a fighting chance, while his absence would likely result in another low-scoring affair dominated by Miami's defense.

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