Northern Illinois hosts Akron in a Week 12 MAC conference matchup. The Huskies (5-4, 2-3 MAC) enter as 15-point favorites against the struggling Zips (2-7, 1-4 MAC).

Akron has lost six straight games and ranks among the bottom-15 FBS teams in key offensive categories including points, yards, and third-down conversions. Their offense sits 114th in EPA per pass (-0.14) and 121st in EPA per rush (-0.10). While RB Jordon Simmons averages an impressive 5.7 yards per carry, limited opportunities have hindered his impact.

The Zips defense allows 38 points and 443 yards per game, with opponents converting 45% of third downs. Their 1-14 straight-up record as underdogs highlights their struggles.

Northern Illinois boasts an elite defense ranking top-20 nationally in:

• Points allowed (19.3 per game)
• Yards allowed (286.4 per game)
• Third down defense (24.76% conversion rate allowed)
• Pass defense efficiency (19th in EPA)

The Huskies look to secure bowl eligibility after an impressive 42-28 win over Western Michigan last week. Their defensive dominance and strong rushing attack should control this matchup against Akron's struggling units.

Best Bet: Northern Illinois -15 (-110)

The pick is backed by Northern Illinois' superior defense and Akron's consistent offensive struggles. Expect the Huskies to establish their ground game early and let their defense handle the rest en route to a comfortable victory.

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