The hot-streak Eagles (-3.5) face off against the surging Commanders on Thursday Night Football in a crucial NFC East matchup. Here's what you need to know:

Key Predictions and Odds:

• Commanders +3.5 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
• Over 48.5 points (-110) at ESPN Bet
• Game total consensus across books: 48.5 points
• Eagles moneyline best odds: -183 (BetMGM)
• Commanders moneyline best odds: +165 (ESPN Bet)

Why Back the Commanders:

• Strong offense led by rookie QB Jayden Daniels (101.7 passer rating, 464 rushing yards)
• Better point differential than Eagles (+73 vs +72)
• Improved defense allowing only 21.7 PPG (down from 30.5 PPG last season)
• Recently scored 27 points against strong Steelers defense

Why the Over Should Hit:

• Eagles averaging 28+ points over last four games
• Both teams feature high-powered offenses
• Commanders defense still developing
• Playoff-like atmosphere should fuel scoring

Important Context:

• Eagles have won 5 straight but against sub-.500 teams
• Teams evenly matched in DVOA rating (Commanders +19.4%, Eagles +17.6%)
• Hostile environment expected at Lincoln Financial Field

Weather and venue conditions are favorable for a close, high-scoring divisional battle that should stay within the 3.5-point spread.

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