The Super Bowl LVI point total is set at 48.5. Here's a comprehensive analysis of whether to bet the over or under:

Key Factors Supporting the Under:

• Recent History: Two of the last three Super Bowls finished under 48.5 points
• Strong Defensive Performance:
  • Bengals allowing 19.7 points per game in playoffs
  • Rams allowing 18.3 points per game in playoffs
• First-Time Playoff QBs: Both Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford may face early nerves
• Ball Control Offenses: Both teams feature strong running games (Joe Mixon, Cam Akers) that can control clock
• Elite Defensive Players: Aaron Donald, Von Miller, Jalen Ramsey, Trey Hendrickson, Chidobe Awuzie
• Special Teams Impact:
  • Reliable kickers in Evan McPherson and Matt Gay
  • Elite Rams punter Johnny Hekker can create field position advantages

Game Flow Considerations:

• Teams typically start slow after two-week Super Bowl break
• Field goals likely to be taken over risky 4th down attempts
• 48.5 points requires averaging 12+ points per quarter

Recommendation: Take the UNDER 48.5

The defensive strengths, conservative early game approaches, and clock-controlling run games point to a lower-scoring affair than the total suggests.

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