THE PLAYERS Round 4: Picks & Odds for Sunday's Final Round at TPC Sawgrass

THE PLAYERS Round 4: Picks & Odds for Sunday's Final Round at TPC Sawgrass

By Michael Harrison

March 22, 2025 at 08:48 AM

JJ Spaun leads THE PLAYERS Championship by one stroke over Bud Cauley heading into Sunday's final round, with challenging weather conditions expected to impact play significantly.

Golfer in white taking swing

Golfer in white taking swing

Current Tournament Odds:

  • JJ Spaun: +210
  • Bud Cauley: +500
  • Rory McIlroy: +650 (4 strokes back)

Weather Impact & Course Conditions:

  • 25+ mph winds and rain expected Sunday
  • Tee times moved up with threesome format
  • Saturday saw multiple players struggle, including Will Zalatoris (+9 in final five holes)
  • Course proving extremely challenging in windy conditions

Top Round 4 Betting Picks:

Akshay Bhatia (+1800):

  • Currently 5 shots back at -8
  • Top-20 rankings in key statistics:
    • Approach shots
    • Around the green
    • Putting
    • Tee-to-green
  • Shows potential for breakthrough victory

Sepp Straka (+2200):

  • Excels in windy conditions (+0.4 strokes per round)
  • Strong recent form:
    • 6th in strokes gained tee-to-green
    • 21st in ball striking
    • Gained 4+ strokes on approach in 5 of last 6 tournaments

The volatile conditions and challenging course setup suggest the tournament remains wide open, with players further back having realistic chances to make up ground in the final round.

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