Red Sox vs Orioles MLB Odds, Starting Pitchers and Game Predictions Today

By Michael Harrison

April 10, 2025 at 07:34 AM

A matchup between the Boston Red Sox (2-4) and Baltimore Orioles (3-3) concludes their three-game series at Camden Yards on Thursday at 1:05 pm ET. The Orioles enter as -120 favorites after being shut out 3-0 in last night's contest.

Baseball batter at home plate

Baseball batter at home plate

Starting Pitchers: Tanner Houck (BOS) vs Charlie Morton (BAL)

Both pitchers struggled in their season debuts:

  • Houck: 5.2 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 2 K against Texas
  • Morton: 3.1 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K against Toronto

Morton's underlying metrics were more encouraging, with a 1.93 FIP and 3.40 xFIP compared to Houck's concerning 8.30 FIP and 6.02 xFIP.

Head-to-Head Numbers:

  • Houck vs BAL batters: .274 BA, .695 OPS in 73 ABs
  • Morton vs BOS batters: .225 BA, .591 OPS in 71 ABs

The Orioles are averaging 5.33 runs per game this season, with three 8+ run performances in six games. Baltimore went 44-37 at home last season, while Boston posted a solid 43-38 road record.

Key Betting Picks:

  • Orioles ML (-120)
  • Houck under 4.5 strikeouts (-136)

The pick: Baltimore's offense should bounce back after being shut out, while Morton shows better form in his second start. The veteran's encouraging peripheral stats and historically strong numbers against Boston's lineup give the O's the edge in this rubber match.

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