Cooper Flagg Draft Odds: Hornets, Jazz, and Wizards Share Top Spot at 14%

By Michael Harrison

April 10, 2025 at 07:31 AM

The Hornets, Jazz, and Wizards are currently co-favorites to draft Duke sensation Cooper Flagg, with each team holding a 14% chance at securing the first overall pick in the upcoming NBA Draft.

Duke player sportsmanlike handshake

Duke player sportsmanlike handshake

Cooper Flagg has established himself as a generational talent at Duke. The 6'9" forward averages 19 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4 assists per game while demonstrating exceptional defensive skills with 1.5 blocks and steals per contest. Scouts consider him the best Duke prospect since Grant Hill.

Current odds to draft Flagg:

  • Hornets: +550
  • Jazz: +550
  • Wizards: +550
  • Pelicans: +650
  • 76ers: +800
  • Nets: +1000
  • Raptors: +1200
  • Bulls: +4000
  • Kings: +12000

Betting Analysis:

  • The bottom-3 teams' odds (+550) are not favorable, as they imply a 15.38% chance despite only having 14% probability
  • Value bets emerge with teams like the Bulls (+4000) and Kings (+12000), offering better returns than their actual lottery chances
  • Recent history shows finishing last doesn't guarantee the top pick - the Pistons finished worst in 2023 but picked fifth
  • The last worst-record team to win the lottery was Phoenix in 2018 (Deandre Ayton)

For optimal betting value, look for odds longer than:

  • Bottom-3 teams: +613 or better
  • 10th worst record: +3230 or better
  • Teams with 1% chance: +10000 or better

Note: Must be 21+ to bet. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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