MLB Home Run Picks Today: Expert's +13056 HR Parlay for Monday's Games
MLB home run betting requires a strategic approach to maximize potential returns while managing risk. Here's today's analysis for April 21's seven-game slate, featuring a +13056 parlay opportunity.
Pete Alonso celebrates after a hit
Smart Betting Strategy:
- Bet 0.25 units on each individual home run
- Place 0.25 units on the full parlay
- Total risk: 1 unit across all bets
- Profit potential: Three wins can offset five days of losses
Today's Three-Leg Home Run Parlay (+13056):
- Manny Machado (+420)
- Consistently hitting balls at 110+ MPH
- Facing Keider Montero (Tigers)
- Montero: 3 HRs allowed in 5 innings this season
- Pete Alonso (+450)
- Four 104+ MPH exits in last four games
- Facing Aaron Nola (career: 6 HRs in 57 at-bats)
- Strong against Nola's struggling four-seam fastball
- Marcell Ozuna (+360)
- Recent performance: 5 hits at 104+ MPH in last two games
- Facing Erick Fedde
- History: 2 career HRs against Fedde
- Excels against Fedde's sweeper pitch
These selections combine strong recent performance metrics with favorable pitcher matchups, creating valuable betting opportunities for today's slate.
John Hyslop smiling at camera