Best NFL MVP Sleeper Picks: Burrow, Murray, and Taylor Lead Dark Horse Candidates

Best NFL MVP Sleeper Picks: Burrow, Murray, and Taylor Lead Dark Horse Candidates

By Michael Harrison

February 16, 2025 at 08:32 AM

Looking beyond the usual favorites, here are three compelling NFL MVP sleeper picks worth considering:

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+1200)

  • Led Bengals to Super Bowl appearance in 2021
  • Ranked 6th in passing yards, 8th in touchdowns last season
  • Led NFL in completion percentage (70.4%) and yards per attempt (8.9)
  • Improved offensive line should boost performance
  • Has elite weapons including Ja'Marr Chase
  • Best value among non-top-5 favorites

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals (+2000)

  • Two-time Pro Bowler and former OROY
  • Consistent production: 20-26 TDs in all three seasons
  • Dual-threat capabilities similar to previous MVP Lamar Jackson
  • Added weapons in DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown
  • Has potential for 3,000+ passing yards and 1,000+ rushing yards

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (+5000)

  • Led NFL with 1,811 rushing yards and 18 rushing TDs in 2021
  • Totaled 2,171 all-purpose yards
  • Improved passing game with Matt Ryan should create opportunities
  • Upgraded offensive line and reduced backfield competition
  • Rare non-QB value pick with proven production
  • Same odds as backup-level quarterbacks

Taylor offers particularly intriguing value given his proven production and favorable situation, despite the quarterback-heavy nature of recent MVP races.

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