Wisconsin vs. Michigan: Odds & Predictions for 2025 Big Ten Tournament Championship Game

Wisconsin vs. Michigan: Odds & Predictions for 2025 Big Ten Tournament Championship Game

By Michael Harrison

March 22, 2025 at 06:04 AM

Wisconsin enters as 2.5-point favorites (-155 ML) against Michigan (+130) in the 2025 Big Ten Tournament championship game. The total is set at 150.5 points, with the game tipping off Sunday at 3:30 pm ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Jordan Poole in red Wizards jersey

Jordan Poole in red Wizards jersey

Wisconsin's Tournament Run:

  • Beat #13 Northwestern 70-63 (2nd round)
  • Defeated UCLA 86-70 (quarterfinals)
  • Edged Michigan State 77-74 (semifinals)
  • John Tonje averaging 25.3 PPG in tournament

Michigan's Path:

  • Dominated Purdue 86-68 (quarterfinals)
  • Dramatic 81-80 win vs Maryland (semifinals)
  • Danny Wolf: 19.5 PPG, 12.5 RPG in two games
  • Vladislav Goldin: 25 points, 10 rebounds vs Maryland

Key Matchup Analysis:

  • Wisconsin has size to counter Michigan's twin 7-footers (Wolf/Goldin)
  • Badgers rank 47th in defensive rebounding %, 39th in 2-point defense
  • Wisconsin riding hot streak behind Tonje's tournament dominance
  • Michigan's post play has been exceptional throughout tournament

Pick: Wisconsin -2.5 (-110) Reasoning: Wisconsin's combination of size, defensive efficiency and Tonje's hot shooting gives them the edge in a competitive championship matchup.

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