The Cincinnati Bearcats stand at a historic crossroads with a 74% chance of becoming the first Group of 5 team to make the College Football Playoff. Currently ranked #4 in the CFP rankings, the 12-0 Bearcats control their own destiny heading into the American Athletic Conference Championship game against Houston.

ESPN's playoff probability rankings:

• Georgia: 99%
• Cincinnati: 74%
• Michigan: 72%
• Alabama: 59%

If Cincinnati wins the conference championship, their playoff chances rise to:

• 90% if all other favorites win
• 70%+ in most winning scenarios

Conference Championship Game Details:

• Opponent: Houston Cougars (11-1)
• Date: Saturday at 4 PM EST
• Location: Nippert Stadium
• Betting Line: Cincinnati -10.5 (-107)
• Over/Under: 54 points

Keys to Victory:

• Cincinnati's defense expected to be crucial
• Desmond Ridder leads offense seeking momentum
• Strong win would strengthen playoff resume

The Bearcats are coming off a 35-13 win at East Carolina and are favored with an 83% win probability against Houston. A victory would likely secure their historic playoff berth, validating their season-long push to break the Power 5's playoff monopoly.

Current CFP Rankings:

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. Alabama
4. Cincinnati

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