The Cincinnati Reds (51-47) are making a push for the NL Central title, sitting 6.5 games behind the first-place Brewers despite losing Nick Castellanos to a fractured wrist. Here are the key expectations for their second half:

Luis Castillo's Continued Excellence After struggling early with a 7.71 ERA through May 13, Castillo has transformed into a reliable ace. He's pitched at least 5 innings in every start since, usually going 6+ innings in June and July. His ERA has improved to 4.20, and he hasn't recorded a loss since June 20.

Suarez's Late-Season Surge While Eugenio Suarez has struggled (.172 average, -1.9 WAR), history suggests improvement ahead. His wRC+ traditionally increases late season:

• 2019: July (136) → August (138) → September (199)
• 2020: August (108) → September (127) Recent signs of life include his first multi-hit game in a month.

Division Title Chances Despite FanGraphs giving them only a 6.5% chance to win the division, several factors work in their favor:

• 48-30 record against teams not named Giants, Padres, or Diamondbacks
• Winning record both home and away
• Strong bullpen anchored by Heath Hembree
• All-Star Jesse Winker's consistent hitting
• Favorable September schedule with multiple Pirates series

The Reds' playoff hopes remain alive as they aim for their first division title since 2012, boosted by their favorable remaining schedule and improving pitching staff.

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