USC vs. UCLA Prediction and Live Odds: Battle for Los Angeles in Saturday Night Football

USC vs. UCLA Prediction and Live Odds: Battle for Los Angeles in Saturday Night Football

By Michael Harrison

November 24, 2024 at 01:56 AM

USC visits UCLA in a crucial crosstown rivalry matchup at the Rose Bowl, with kickoff set for 10:30 p.m. ET on NBC. The Trojans enter as 4.5-point road favorites.

Football player in white jersey

Football player in white jersey

Game Overview

  • USC (5-5, 3-5 Big Ten) vs UCLA (4-6, 3-5 Big Ten)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 points
  • USC implied win probability: 64.3%
  • UCLA implied win probability: 40.7%

USC Analysis

  • Averaging 438.1 yards and 30.3 points per game
  • QB Jayden Maiava impressed last week with 259 yards, 3 TDs
  • RB Woody Marks surpassed 1,000 rushing yards
  • Defense allowing 364.7 yards and 22 points per game
  • Vulnerable against pass (232.7 yards/game)

UCLA Analysis

  • Offense improving: 320.6 yards, 18.8 points per game
  • QB Ethan Garbers showing consistency with multiple TDs
  • Strong run defense allowing only 100.6 yards/game
  • Secondary struggling (245.7 passing yards allowed)
  • Won three of last four games

Football players in NFL uniforms

Football players in NFL uniforms

Prediction and Best Bet Pick: UCLA +4.5 (-110)

Reasoning:

  • UCLA's elite run defense matches well against USC's ground game
  • Home field advantage at Rose Bowl
  • Line movement from USC -7 to -4.5 indicates sharp money on UCLA
  • UCLA's recent form suggests potential upset
  • Bruins' defensive strength could force USC out of comfort zone

The Bruins' improving offense and stout run defense make them a strong value play as home underdogs in this rivalry matchup.

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