UFC 278 features a welterweight title rematch between champion Kamaru Usman (20-1) and challenger Leon Edwards (19-3) in Salt Lake City on August 20. This is a rematch of their 2015 bout, which Usman won by decision.

Betting Odds:

• Usman: -400 favorite
• Edwards: +300 underdog

Key Factors:

• Both fighters have improved significantly since their first meeting
• Usman's striking has evolved dramatically under coach Trevor Whittman
• Edwards possesses dangerous clinch striking and elbows
• Usman's wrestling remains an elite threat
• Edwards was hurt by Nate Diaz in his last fight's 5th round

Fight Analysis:

• Expect a technical striking match early with potential grappling
• First round likely to be a feeling-out process
• Edwards needs to stuff takedowns and control distance
• Usman has multiple paths to victory through striking or wrestling
• Usman's age and recent hand surgery could be factors

Prediction: Usman has the most paths to victory through his improved striking and elite wrestling. While Edwards is a legitimate threat, Usman's power and well-rounded skill set make him the likely winner. Consider prop bets on Usman by finish or under rounds for better value than the straight moneyline.

Note: Keep in mind Usman's -400 odds offer limited value given Edwards' high-level skills. Look for prop bets that offer better value while still favoring the champion.

Related Articles

Previous Articles