Three key factors could potentially derail Jacob deGrom's 2021 Cy Young campaign, despite his dominant first-half performance:

Injury Risk

• Has already experienced two injury scares this season
• Briefly landed on 10-day IL with right side tightness in May
• Dealt with shoulder soreness in June, though avoided IL stint
• High-velocity pitching style increases injury susceptibility
• Has historically been durable (22+ starts every non-pandemic season)

Sticky Substance Rule Impact

• MLB began foreign substance checks on June 21st
• deGrom has allowed 2-3 runs in two starts since rule enforcement
• Showed slight performance decline after five straight scoreless outings
• Posted season-high five hits vs Braves under new rule
• Still dominant with 14 strikeouts and no walks in that start

Limited Run Support

• Mets historically provide minimal offensive support
• Lost 3 of 5 starts in April, including two shutouts
• Win-loss record still factors into some voters' decisions
• Currently 7-2 despite run support challenges
• Only three pitchers since 1981 won Cy Young with fewer than 15 wins

While deGrom remains the Cy Young favorite, these factors could impact his chances of securing his third award in four years. His elite talent and current 7-2 record suggest he can overcome these obstacles if he stays healthy and maintains his exceptional performance level.

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