The Texans (6-4) head to AT&T Stadium as 7-point favorites against the struggling Cowboys (3-6) for Monday Night Football in Week 11.

The current betting line shows Houston -7 with a total of 42. Public betting heavily favors the Texans, with 74% of tickets and 78% of handle on Houston to cover. The over is also getting significant action, drawing 78% of bets.

The Texans enter having lost two straight games but receive a boost with star receiver Nico Collins returning from a hamstring injury. Collins led the league in receiving before his Week 5 injury. Running back Joe Mixon has been a bright spot, averaging 98.3 rushing yards per game (3rd in NFL) with 8 touchdowns.

Dallas's offense has been abysmal, going 24 straight home possessions without a touchdown. Cooper Rush will start again after averaging just 1.96 yards per attempt in last week's loss to Philadelphia. The Cowboys are winless at home (0-4) this season, with three losses by 25+ points.

Key factors favoring Houston:

• Cowboys rank 30th in run stop win rate
• Texans defense leads NFL with 15 turnovers forced since Week 6
• Dallas converting only 35.9% of third downs
• Cowboys have NFL's second-worst ATS record (22.2%)

Expert picks:

• Texans -7 (-110)
• Under 42 (-110)

The Cowboys haven't lost five straight home games since 2015, but their offensive struggles and Houston's improving defense make that streak likely to end on Monday night.

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