Steelers vs Browns TNF Best Picks & Odds: NFL Thursday Night Football Week 12 Preview

Steelers vs Browns TNF Best Picks & Odds: NFL Thursday Night Football Week 12 Preview

By Michael Harrison

November 21, 2024 at 11:04 AM

The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) face the Cleveland Browns (2-8) in Week 12's Thursday Night Football matchup at Huntington Bank Field. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET on November 21.

Football players clash during Bengals-Steelers game

Football players clash during Bengals-Steelers game

Key Betting Information:

  • Spread: Steelers -3.5 (most books), -4.0 (ESPN Bet)
  • Moneyline: Steelers -195 (Caesars/ESPN Bet), Browns +166 (FanDuel)
  • Total: 37.0 (36.5 at FanDuel/ESPN Bet)

The line has moved significantly in Cleveland's favor from the opening spread of Steelers -5.5. The total has also dropped from 40.0 to 37.0, reflecting expectations of a low-scoring affair.

Betting Analysis:

  • Recent history supports the under, with two of the last three matchups in Cleveland totaling under 30 points
  • Cleveland's defense ranks in the top 10 and has held half their opponents to 21 or fewer points
  • Pittsburgh's defense ranks second in scoring (16.2 PPG) and third overall per PFF
  • Public betting heavily favors Pittsburgh with 82% of ATS handle and 99% of moneyline handle

![Dustin Hopkins missed field goal attempt](Image URL removed due to error)

Top Picks:

  1. Browns +4.0 (-115) at ESPN Bet
  2. Under 37.0 (-110) at DraftKings

While Cleveland's offense has struggled recently, their strong defense and the rivalry nature of this matchup suggest a close, low-scoring game. The Browns' defensive capabilities against Pittsburgh's 19th-ranked offense make them an attractive underdog play.

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