Sphere Entertainment Stock Drops 10% After Analyst Issues Short Warning

By Michael Harrison

December 5, 2024 at 11:23 PM

Sphere Entertainment (NYSE: SPHR) stock declined Thursday following a bearish recommendation from Hedgeye analyst Andrew Freedman, who projects up to 30% downside potential.

Las Vegas Sphere at night

Las Vegas Sphere at night

Freedman highlighted several key concerns:

  • Significant growth challenges through 2025 and beyond
  • High operating costs affecting profitability
  • Challenges in offsetting expenses through Sphere Experience segment
  • Questions about the sustainability of reduced show volumes

The company faces multiple headwinds:

  • Current 10% stock decline over the past month
  • 29.5% short interest indicating bearish sentiment
  • $125.1 million third-quarter operating loss
  • Four consecutive months of declining Nevada gaming revenue

Despite these challenges, shorting SPHR comes with risks:

  • Potential announcements of new high-profile residencies
  • Development of new entertainment options
  • Plans for a Sphere-adapted version of "The Wizard of Oz"

The company recently addressed concerns about its Madison Square Garden Network debt through an SEC filing on October 11, dealing with nearly $830 million in liabilities that had previously weighed on investor sentiment.

The venue's success largely depends on securing top-tier acts and programming while managing high operating costs associated with its single-screen format. Current market indicators suggest continued volatility as Sphere Entertainment works to establish a sustainable business model.

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