Robert Morris vs Alabama: March Madness Betting Preview & NCAA Tournament Odds
Alabama faces Robert Morris as 23.5-point favorites in their NCAA Tournament Round 1 matchup on March 21 at Rocket Arena in Cleveland (12:40pm ET, truTV).
Basketball player shoots mid-jump
Key Stats:
- Alabama (25-8, 19-14-0 ATS)
- Robert Morris (26-7, 25-7-0 ATS)
- Total: 166.5 points
- Alabama moneyline: -5000
Team Analysis:
- Alabama ranks 6th overall at KenPom (2nd in offensive efficiency)
- Leads NCAA in scoring (91.1 PPG)
- Grant Nelson (knee) questionable - team's leading rebounder
- Lost 3 of last 5 games
- Faced 9 straight ranked opponents to end regular season
Robert Morris enters on a 10-game win streak with strong defensive metrics:
- 2nd in Horizon League scoring defense (70.4 PPG allowed)
- 25-7-0 ATS record this season
- Averaging 76.9 PPG (4th in Horizon League)
- First ranked opponent this season
- Seeking first NCAA Tournament win as 15-seed
Key Player Props:
- Mark Sears (ALA): 20.5 points
- Kam Woods (RMU): 14.5 points
- Alvaro Folgueiras & Clifford Omoruyi: 7.5 rebounds each
Public Betting:
- Spread: 77% on Robert Morris (54% of money)
- Moneyline: 91% on Alabama (67% of money)
- Total: 46% on Over (57% of money)
Prediction: Robert Morris (+23.5). While Alabama's high-powered offense should prevail, Robert Morris's strong ATS record and Alabama's defensive struggles suggest the spread is too wide.