The Cincinnati Reds (-138) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (+118) after splitting their weekend series with Cleveland. The game features Jeff Hoffman (2-2, 4.39 ERA) against Mitch Keller (2-3, 6.29 ERA).

Key Stats:

• Reds: 3rd in MLB averaging 5.06 runs/game
• Pirates: 29th in MLB averaging 3.44 runs/game
• Reds road record: 5-9
• Pirates home record: 5-7

Key Players:

• Nick Castellanos (CIN): .316/.355/.632, 9 HR, 20 RBI
• Colin Moran (PIT): On IL, team leader with 19 RBI

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Reds -138, Pirates +118
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5
• Over/Under: 8 runs

Analysis: The Reds' powerful offense faces a struggling Keller, while Hoffman aims to bounce back from a rough outing. Despite road struggles, Cincinnati's superior offense gives them an edge against a Pirates team that's 2-8 in their last 10 games.

The Reds have an opportunity to get their offense back on track against a pitcher who has generally struggled this season, though Keller did throw 5.2 scoreless innings in his last start.

Head-to-Head Notes:

• Castellanos: 3-for-10 with HR vs Keller
• Todd Frazier/Adam Frazier: Combined 4-for-10 with 2 HR vs Hoffman

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