The Chicago Cubs face the Cincinnati Reds in an NL Central matchup on Tuesday evening. While both teams are out of playoff contention, there's betting value to analyze in the total runs market.

The game total is set at 7.5 runs, with the first inning run line at -110 for both yes and no. Early scoring could significantly impact whether this game goes over or under the total.

Pitching Matchup Analysis:

Justin Dunn (Reds):

• 1-2 record, 4.63 ERA in 23.1 innings
• Has allowed home runs in all five starts this season
• Seven total home runs allowed

Wade Miley (Cubs):

• 1-0 record, 2.84 ERA in 19 innings
• No home runs allowed this season
• Strong under-friendly performance

Recent Head-to-Head Trends:

• 6 of last 7 meetings saw 8+ runs scored
• 4 of those 6 games had double-digit run totals
• Strong historical tendency toward high-scoring games

The contrasting pitching performances and recent scoring trends between these teams suggest potential for runs, despite the modest 7.5 total. Dunn's tendency to give up home runs could be particularly significant at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.

Note: Final betting decisions should consider additional factors like weather conditions, lineup changes, and recent team performance.

Related Articles

Previous Articles