Cryptocurrency prediction market Polymarket has opened betting markets related to Luigi Mangione, who was arrested Monday for the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in Manhattan last week.

Mangione, 26, was found with "written admissions" about the shooting when arrested at a McDonald's in Pennsylvania, according to Forbes. An internal NYPD report obtained by The New York Times revealed a manifesto was discovered, in which Mangione described the killing as a "symbolic takedown" and "direct challenge" to alleged corporate corruption.

Current betting markets on Polymarket include:

• 68% odds Mangione will plead guilty ($13K volume)
• 24% chance his manifesto will be released by Friday ($58K volume)
• 1% probability of a legitimate Mangione YouTube channel ($83K volume)
• 10% odds the manifesto will reference "Unabomber" Ted Kaczynski ($73K volume)

Polymarket, launched in 2020, gained prominence during the recent US election with billions in betting volume. While the CFTC has previously investigated the platform over concerns about gambling regulations, Polymarket maintains it blocks US users and VPNs. The FBI recently raided CEO Shayne Coplan's apartment, seizing devices, though no charges were filed.

The platform operates using cryptocurrency transactions, allowing users to bet anonymously on news events and predictions. The site correctly predicted Donald Trump's recent election victory, cementing its reputation for accurate market-based forecasting.

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