Tyson vs Paul betting data reveals a stark contrast between public sentiment and sharp money action. While 69% of total bets favor Mike Tyson, Jake Paul dominates with 41% of the total handle despite only 15% of bets, indicating strong sharp support.

The odds have seen significant movement:

• Tyson: Opened +275, shortened to +160, settled at +180
• Paul: Opened -275, lengthened to -200, now at -175

Public sentiment heavily favors Tyson despite his 31-year age disadvantage and lengthy absence from professional boxing. However, sharp money backs Paul, likely due to his youth, recent activity, and favorable modified rules including 14-ounce gloves and shorter rounds.

Current implied probabilities:

• Paul (-175): 64% chance of victory
• Tyson (+180): 36% chance of victory

Analysis suggests Paul as the value side despite public backing for Tyson. Key factors favoring Paul:

• 27 years old vs Tyson's 58
• Active career with 11 fights since 2020
• Superior stamina expected
• Modified rules minimize Tyson's power advantage

While Tyson's plus-money odds are tempting, sharp money and key advantages point to Paul as the more prudent betting choice. Paul's youth, technique, and activity level should secure a decision victory if he can weather Tyson's early attacks.

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