Ole Miss vs Arkansas: SEC Baseball Tournament Quarterfinal Showdown and Betting Preview

By Michael Harrison

May 30, 2025 at 10:45 AM

Ole Miss (38-18) faces Arkansas (43-12) in the SEC Baseball Tournament quarterfinals, with Arkansas entering as a -238 moneyline favorite. The over/under is set at 10.5 runs.

Baseball player among stadium spectators

Baseball player among stadium spectators

The pitching matchup features Riley Maddox (5-5, 5.46 ERA) for Ole Miss against Arkansas' Zach Root (6-4, 4.16 ERA). Both pitchers have struggled recently, with Root posting a 9.00 ERA in his last six games and Maddox allowing 16 hits and 9 runs over his last 14 innings.

Arkansas boasts the SEC's most potent offense, leading the conference in runs, hits, average, and slugging. Seven Razorbacks players have hit double-digit home runs, led by MLB prospect Wehiwa Aloy (.440 OBP, .677 SLG, 18 HR).

Ole Miss brings significant offensive firepower as well, ranking top-six in conference home runs and slugging. The Rebels feature five players with double-digit home runs and top-50 MLB prospect Luke Hill. In their previous series against Arkansas this season, Ole Miss averaged over 7 runs per game.

Previous matchups between these teams this season were high-scoring affairs, with all three games producing 15+ runs. Their most recent meeting saw Arkansas rally for five runs in the 9th inning for a dramatic 12-9 victory, highlighted by Aloy's three-run go-ahead homer.

Based on recent performance and head-to-head history, this game projects to be another high-scoring contest. Arkansas has won 33 straight games by 2+ runs, suggesting strong value on both the over 10.5 runs (-110) and Arkansas -1.5 (-130) run line.

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