North Carolina vs Ole Miss Final Odds & Predictions: Tar Heels Favored After First Four Win

By Michael Harrison

March 28, 2025 at 04:24 PM

The #11 North Carolina Tar Heels enter as 1.5-point favorites against the #6 Ole Miss Rebels following their impressive victory over San Diego State in the First Four. The game takes place Friday at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee (4:05 pm ET).

NBA player dribbling basketball

NBA player dribbling basketball

Key Betting Information:

  • Moneyline: North Carolina -125 (55.56% implied probability), Ole Miss +105 (48.78%)
  • Total: 155.5 (over/under) with -110 odds both ways
  • UNC season O/U record: 19-17
  • Ole Miss season O/U record: 17-16

Score Predictions Major analytics sites are split on the outcome:

  • KenPom: Ole Miss by 1
  • Torvik: Ole Miss by 1
  • Haslam: UNC by 0.5

The total projections range from 154.7 (Haslam) to 157 (Torvik), all exceeding the opening line of 152.5.

Public Betting Trends

  • Moneyline: 70% of handle on UNC (64% of bets)
  • Against the Spread: 87% of handle on UNC (71% of bets)
  • Total: 65% of money on over 155.5 (65% of bets)

The betting public strongly favors North Carolina, reflecting both their recent form and historic program prestige. The significant movement in the total suggests strong confidence in a high-scoring affair from both sharp and public bettors.

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