The 2024-25 NFL regular season enters Week 13 with several intriguing betting opportunities. Here are three compelling picks against the spread for Sunday, December 2nd's early window games.

Steelers (+3.5) at Bengals

The Steelers (8-3, 4-2 away, 8-3 ATS) bring the NFL's third-rated defense and fourth-best scoring defense (16.9 PPG) to face a struggling Bengals team (4-7, 2-4 home, 6-5 ATS). Cincinnati's defense ranks fifth-last in scoring (26.9 PPG) and 23rd overall. With playoff hopes dimming, the Bengals may see decreased motivation while Pittsburgh fights to maintain their AFC North lead.

Cardinals (+4) at Vikings

Despite Minnesota's record (9-2, 4-1 home, 7-3-1), their recent wins have been unconvincing against weaker opponents. Arizona (6-5, 2-3 away, 7-4 ATS) has shown defensive improvement, reducing points allowed from 26.8 PPG in 2023 to 21.5 PPG in 2024. The Cardinals' balanced performance suggests they'll keep this game competitive.

Patriots -1.5 (+135) vs Colts

Indianapolis (5-7, 2-4 away, 8-4 ATS) struggles with QB Anthony Richardson's limited production (5 TDs, 7 INTs, 47.1% completion rate). While New England (3-9, 1-4 home, 4-7-1 ATS) isn't dominant, their defense remains solid and recent performances have been competitive. The Patriots' home-field advantage and defensive capability make them an attractive pick at these odds.

These picks focus on undervalued teams with strong defensive metrics and favorable situational factors. Each selection offers positive expected value based on current market prices and team performance indicators.

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