NFL Week 12 Expert Predictions: Computer Model & Analysts Target Key Upsets

NFL Week 12 Expert Predictions: Computer Model & Analysts Target Key Upsets

By Michael Harrison

November 24, 2024 at 12:49 AM

Week 12 NFL Betting Preview & Picks

The 2024-25 NFL season continues with 12 exciting matchups across Sunday and Monday. Let's analyze the most valuable betting opportunities for Week 12.

Last Week's Results:

  • Upset picks: 1-1 (+0.76 units)
  • SBD formula: 1-0 (+1.52 units)
  • Total potential profit: 3.33 units

Football player sprinting during game

Football player sprinting during game

Key Week 12 Predictions:

Formula Predictions (Close Games):

  • Dolphins over Patriots by 1.8 points
  • Packers over 49ers by 1 point
  • Chargers over Ravens by 1.7 points

Top Upset Picks:

Bears (+162) over Vikings:

  • Bears showing improvement under new OC Thomas Brown
  • Strong rushing attack (391 yards vs Packers)
  • Chicago's defense ranks 7th in points allowed
  • Bears have forced 17 turnovers (9 interceptions)
  • Favorable matchup against Sam Darnold under pressure

Patriots (+310) over Dolphins:

  • Value play with 40-45% win probability
  • Drake Maye showing steady improvement
  • Dolphins' explosive plays down (23rd in 20+ yard passes)
  • Tua Tagovailoa playing more conservatively
  • Strong potential for competitive game

Additional considerations:

  • Cardinals predicted to upset Seahawks
  • Chargers predicted to beat Ravens on MNF

For the most current odds and additional betting analysis, check the latest NFL odds before placing your bets.

Remember to always gamble responsibly and within your means. Must be 21+ to bet.

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