NFL Week 12 Anytime TD Props: Expert Picks & Best Betting Value for Touchdown Scorers
Here's the concise, value-focused rewrite:
Week 12 NFL touchdown scorer analysis reveals 11 high-value betting opportunities based on matchups, recent performance, and statistical trends.
Recommended Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 12:
George Pickens (+225 at BetMGM)
- 12 targets last week
- Scored in 2 of 4 games with Wilson
- Ranks 5th in red zone targets
- Faces Browns' struggling secondary
Jameson Williams (+210 at BetMGM)
- 4 TDs in 8 games
- Increasing target share (5-6 targets last two games)
- Faces Colts defense allowing 4th most big plays
Mike Evans (+160 at DraftKings)
- 6 TDs in 7 games
- Returns from bye healthy
- Expected increased target share without Godwin
Rhamondre Stevenson (+130 at bet365)
- 21+ touches in 3 of last 4 games
- 4th in red zone looks per game (3.90)
- Scored vs Dolphins in Week 5
Nico Collins (+120 bet365)
- TDs in 3 of 6 games
- Expected increased snap count
- Double-digit targets in 3 games
Brian Robinson Jr (-138 at bet365)
- TDs in 6 of 8 games
- 6th most red zone looks per game
- Faces Cowboys' defense allowing 18 rushing TDs
Javonte Williams (+160 at bet365)
- Regained lead back role
- Strong performance last week
- Favorable matchup vs Raiders
George Kittle (+220 at FanDuel)
- TDs in 6 of 8 games
- 7 total TDs
- Top-7 in red zone targets
James Conner (-120 at bet365)
- Lead back role
- 3.1 red zone looks per game
- Faces weak Seahawks run defense
Jalen Hurts (-110 at bet365)
- TDs in 5 straight games
- 9 rushing TDs in last 5
- High red zone usage
Quentin Johnston (+200 at DraftKings)
- TDs in 3 straight games
- Season-high 8 targets last week
- Faces Ravens' pass-vulnerable defense
Commanders players walk on field
Each recommendation is a half-unit bet except Brian Robinson Jr and Jalen Hurts (full-unit bets).