NFL Week 11 Best Picks Against the Spread: Ravens vs Steelers, Chiefs vs Bills, and More
NFL Week 11 features compelling matchups including Ravens vs Steelers, Browns vs Saints, and Chiefs vs Bills. Here are three expert picks against the spread, backed by historical data and current team analysis.
New Orleans Saints players in uniform
Steelers +3 vs Ravens (+100)
- AFC North underdogs are 28-10-3 ATS (74%) over last 20 years
- Mike Tomlin is 62-35-4 ATS (63.9%) as underdog
- Steelers averaging 30+ points in last three games under Russell Wilson
- Ravens' secondary is vulnerable and dealing with injuries
Browns +1 vs Saints (-115)
- Saints likely face letdown after interim coach bump
- New Orleans allowing 5.2 rushing yards per carry (2nd worst)
- Nick Chubb getting healthier following tough matchups
- Browns coming off bye week with fresh defense
Chiefs +2.5 vs Bills (-110)
- Patrick Mahomes is 11-3 SU and 12-1-1 ATS as underdog
- Chiefs are 18-5-1 ATS as underdogs since 2016
- Kansas City's defense performing better than Buffalo's
- Bills allowing 4.9 yards per carry
- 81% of public bets on Chiefs +2.5
The Bills-Chiefs matchup shapes up as the game of the week with major playoff implications. While Buffalo rides a five-game win streak, Kansas City's defensive edge and Mahomes' underdog record make the Chiefs an attractive pick.
For injury updates and last-minute changes, check official team reports before placing bets. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.