NFL Thanksgiving Day Three-Team Betting Guide and Analysis

NFL Thanksgiving Day Three-Team Betting Guide and Analysis

By Michael Harrison

March 18, 2025 at 06:11 AM

Here's a clear, concise guide for betting the NFL Thanksgiving three-team teaser:

Bills/Lions Over 48.5

  • Lions average 25 points per game (8th in NFL)
  • Bills score 28.1 points per game (2nd in NFL)
  • Detroit's defense allows league-worst 28.2 points per game
  • Bills' vertical passing attack matches up well against weak Lions defense

Cowboys -3.5 vs Giants

  • Giants struggling recently, losing 2 of last 3 games
  • NY's passing game ranks 28th (177.3 yards/game)
  • Cowboys dominated Vikings last week
  • Dallas won first meeting by 7, limiting Giants to 16 points
  • Cowboys' offense clicking against most opponents

Patriots +8.5 vs Vikings

  • Vikings have negative point differential despite 8-2 record
  • Minnesota wins close games consistently
  • Patriots' defense and run game keep games tight
  • Kirk Cousins struggles in night games (10-18 record)
  • Vikings likely to win but within one score

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Key Statistics:

  • Lions offense: 25 PPG (8th)
  • Bills offense: 28.1 PPG (2nd)
  • Lions defense: 28.2 PPG allowed (32nd)
  • Giants passing: 177.3 YPG (28th)
  • Cousins night record: 10-18 (3-4 Thursdays)

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