The NFL passing game continues to evolve, with ten quarterbacks throwing for over 4,000 yards in the 2021 season's first 17-game schedule. To lead the league in passing yards in 2022, quarterbacks will likely need to reach or approach 5,000 yards.

Current NFL Passing Yards Leader Odds:

• Justin Herbert (+700)
• Patrick Mahomes (+800)
• Tom Brady (+850)
• Joe Burrow (+900)
• Derek Carr (+900)
• Matthew Stafford (+900)
• Josh Allen (+1200)
• Dak Prescott (+1300)
• Russell Wilson (+1800)
• Kirk Cousins (+2000)

Top Contenders Analysis:

Justin Herbert (+700)

• Threw for 5,014 yards in 2021
• Second-most attempts (672) behind Brady
• 65.9% completion rate with room for improvement
• Strong favorite given volume and efficiency

Joe Burrow (+900)

• 4,611 yards in 2021 despite limited attempts (520)
• League-leading 70.4% completion rate
• Improved offensive line should reduce sacks
• Could see increased attempts in 2022

Josh Allen (+1200)

• 4,407 yards on 646 attempts in 2021
• 63.3% completion rate has room for improvement
• New offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey (former QB coach)
• System continuity benefits potential production

Value Picks:

• Matthew Stafford (+900): 4,886 yards in 2021 with efficient attempts
• Jameis Winston (+2000): Previously threw for 5,109 yards in 2019
• Key factors: Improved completion percentage and offensive weapons

The race for passing yards leader will likely come down to attempt volume, completion percentage, and offensive system efficiency. Herbert, Burrow, and Allen represent the best combination of these factors heading into 2022.

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