MLB Dinger Tuesday: Best Home Run Bets & Value Picks for May 27
Lars Nootbaar and other MLB sluggers present prime home run opportunities for Dinger Tuesday on May 27. Here are the top picks with detailed analysis:
Lars Nootbaar (+840 with 50% Profit Boost at FanDuel)
- 7 home runs this season (5 vs right-handed pitchers)
- Facing Tomoyuki Sugano (1.5 HR/9, 4 HRs allowed in last 4 starts)
- Camden Yards ranks top 5 for lefty home runs
- Strong stats: 92.1 exit velocity, 52.4% hard hit rate
- Batting leadoff in hitter-friendly park
Cardinals batter at the plate
Christian Walker (+400 at FanDuel)
- Matchup vs JP Sears (1.7 HR/9, 6 HRs allowed in last 3 starts)
- 6 home runs this season (4 at home)
- Playing at Daikin Park (9th in ballpark factor)
- Team-leading exit velocity and hard hit rate
- Hot streak: HR Sunday, consecutive multi-hit games
Cardinals vs Orioles baseball game
Bryce Harper (+300 at DraftKings)
- 8 home runs in 2025
- Facing Spencer Strider (5.79 ERA, HR allowed in both 2025 starts)
- Strong history vs Strider: 2 HRs, .300 batting average
- Citizens Bank Park ranks 6th for lefty home runs
- Recent success: Multiple hits in 4 of last 7 games
- Quality contact: 50% hard hit rate, 91.6 exit velocity
These picks consider ballpark factors, pitcher matchups, historical performance, and current form. Always verify lines and odds before placing bets.