MLB All-Star Game 2021: Home Run Derby Betting Guide - Odds and Top Picks

MLB All-Star Game 2021: Home Run Derby Betting Guide - Odds and Top Picks

By Michael Harrison

December 22, 2024 at 12:39 AM

The MLB Home Run Derby kicks off at 8:00 PM ET featuring eight of baseball's most powerful hitters. Here's a complete breakdown of the competitors and betting odds:

Participants and Odds:

  • Shohei Ohtani (+260)
  • Joey Gallo (+420)
  • Pete Alonso (+450)
  • Matt Olson (+500)
  • Trevor Story (+750)
  • Juan Soto (+800)
  • Salvador Perez (+1500)
  • Trey Mancini (+1800)

Top Contenders Analysis:

Shohei Ohtani (Favorite, +260)

  • League leader with 33 home runs in 2021
  • One of only six players to hit upper-deck homer at T-Mobile Park
  • Potential concern: Fatigue from pitching and hitting duties all season

Pete Alonso (Defending Champion, +450)

  • Won 2019 Derby with 57 home runs (4th highest all-time)
  • Proven stamina and experience in the format
  • Strong value bet given past performance

Trevor Story (Hometown Pick, +750)

  • Home field advantage at Coors Field
  • Solid power numbers and familiarity with the park
  • Could be his final Derby as a Rockie

Value Pick: Trey Mancini (+1800) offers compelling underdog value after his inspiring comeback from Stage III colon cancer. While victory isn't likely, his story and determination make him an intriguing long-shot bet.

Final Prediction: Pete Alonso repeats as champion, combining experience, proven stamina, and excellent betting value at +450.

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