Maryland vs Michigan Big Ten Semifinal Picks & Odds: Red-Hot Terrapins Favored by 4.5
Maryland enters as a 4.5-point favorite (-185 ML) over Michigan (+154 ML) in the Big Ten Tournament semifinal. The total is set at 150.5.
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Key Factors Supporting Maryland (-4.5):
- Won 8 of last 9 games
- Strong defensive team averaging 14 forced turnovers per game
- Balanced scoring with five players reaching double figures in recent games
- Forced 16 turnovers in previous matchup vs Michigan, converting them into 21 points
- Covered in 8 of last 13 conference games
- Dominated #24 Illinois 88-65 in previous game, shooting 43% FG and 48% 3PT
Michigan Concerns:
- Recently snapped 3-game losing streak
- Averaging 14 turnovers during recent skid
- Struggling with defensive rebounding
- 3-13 ATS in last 16 games
- Poor matchup against Maryland's defensive pressure
Analysis: Maryland's defensive prowess and Michigan's turnover issues make the Terps the clear choice. Michigan's recent win against Purdue came against one of the Big Ten's worst defenses (ranked 241st in opponent effective FG%). Maryland's superior defense, offensive rebounding advantage, and balanced scoring attack should lead to a comfortable victory.
Best Bet: Maryland -4.5 (-110)
The game tips off at 3:30pm ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, with CBS providing broadcast coverage.
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