March Madness: Ohio State's Tournament Seeding Odds and Predictions

March Madness: Ohio State's Tournament Seeding Odds and Predictions

By Michael Harrison

February 26, 2025 at 07:40 AM

Ohio State's NCAA tournament seeding prospects have been impacted by their early exit from the Big Ten tournament, losing to Penn State 71-68. Here's what you need to know about their projected seeding:

Current Projections:

  • Most likely a 6 seed (25.5% probability)
  • 21.5% chance of dropping to 7 seed
  • 17.9% chance of moving up to 5 seed

Key Factors Affecting Seeding:

Quality Wins:

  • Home victory vs Duke
  • Home win against Wisconsin
  • Road win at Illinois
  • All opponents were ranked at time of victories

Damaging Losses:

  • Nebraska (worst loss, 10-22 record)
  • Road losses to Indiana and Maryland
  • Recent Big Ten tournament loss to Penn State

Competition for Seeding:

Projected 5 Seeds:

  • UConn
  • LSU
  • Texas
  • Iowa

Other Projected 6 Seeds:

  • Houston
  • Saint Mary's
  • Alabama

Projected 7 Seeds:

  • Colorado State
  • USC
  • Michigan State
  • Boise State

Final Prediction: Ohio State likely drops to a 7 seed due to their early conference tournament exit and recent struggles down the stretch. The committee will weigh this against their quality wins earlier in the season when making final seeding decisions.

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