High-Value Same-Game Parlay Picks for Commanders vs Eagles TNF Week 11
Thursday Night Football brings a crucial NFC East battle between the Washington Commanders (7-3) and Philadelphia Eagles (7-2). Here's a +700 same-game parlay analysis with three high-value picks.
Football player throwing red ball
Same-Game Parlay Picks (+700):
- Total Under 48.5 Points
- Both teams heavily favor run-based offenses
- Eagles rank 1st in rush attempts, 2nd in yards and TDs
- Commanders rank 3rd in rush attempts, yards, and 1st in TDs
- Eagles defense ranks 5th against the run
- Run-heavy approach will consume clock time
- Vic Fangio's defense historically limits Kliff Kingsbury offenses
- Jayden Daniels Completions Under 19.5
- Eagles lead league in possession time (34+ minutes last 3 games)
- Limited offensive opportunities for Commanders
- Eagles boast 2nd-ranked pass defense
- Rookie QBs are 0-9-1 vs Eagles since 2016
- Fangio defenses are 6-2 vs rookie QBs in last 5 seasons
- Jalen Hurts Anytime TD
- 8 rushing TDs in last 4 games (NFL QB record)
- 30 red zone rushing attempts this season
- 10 TDs on 30 red zone runs
- Eagles run 70% of red zone plays
- Highly effective "Brotherly Shove" play near goal line
This parlay combines game flow analysis with historical trends and team tendencies. A $100 bet would return $700 profit if all three legs hit.
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