Genius Sports Stock Jumps 16% After Surprise Q3 Profit, Higher 2024 Forecast
Genius Sports (NYSE: GENI) demonstrated remarkable performance in Q3 2023, posting a surprise profit and improved financial outlook, leading to a 16% surge in stock price with four times the normal trading volume.
Third Quarter Performance:
- Net income: $12.5 million
- EBITDA: $26 million
- Revenue: $120 million
- Year-over-year improvement: $24.1 million (from -$11.6M in Q3 2022)
Genius Sports NYSE display sign
Key Business Developments:
- Extended ESPN partnership for enhanced college sports, NBA, and WNBA data
- New Reddit partnership for NFL-related data integration
- Reduced operational and transaction expenses
2024 Updated Guidance:
- Projected revenue: $511 million (24% YoY growth)
- Expected adjusted EBITDA: $86 million (61% YoY growth)
- Margin expansion: ~400 basis points
- Anticipating positive cash flow for full year
Growth Drivers:
- Increased live betting on NFL games
- Rising demand for in-game wagering data
- Growth in same-game parlays
- Fourth consecutive year of 20%+ top-line growth
CFO Nicholas Taylor confirmed Q4 expectations of 38% revenue growth, 2.5x EBITDA growth, and 900 basis points of margin expansion, positioning the company for sustained profitability and market leadership in sports betting data services.