Expert NBA Player Props: Top Picks and Analysis for Friday, March 14

Expert NBA Player Props: Top Picks and Analysis for Friday, March 14

By Michael Harrison

March 21, 2025 at 12:15 AM

Tonight's NBA slate features 10 games with compelling player prop opportunities. Let's examine the most promising options backed by data and matchup analysis.

James Harden dribbles on basketball court

James Harden dribbles on basketball court

James Harden Over 9.5 Assists (-104) at FanDuel

  • Averaged 11+ assists in last 3 games
  • 17.3 potential assists per game over that span
  • Facing Hawks who allow 2nd most assists to PGs (11 per game)
  • Hawks play at NBA's 2nd-fastest pace
  • Favorable uptempo matchup for assist opportunities

Darius Garland 10+ Assists (+235) at DraftKings

  • Mitchell out, making Garland primary facilitator
  • 20 potential assists last game despite slow-paced opponent
  • Facing Grizzlies who play at NBA's fastest pace
  • Memphis allows most assists to PG position over last 7 games
  • Value opportunity at +235 odds given increased role

Both props leverage favorable matchups against high-pace teams with demonstrated vulnerability to point guard playmaking. The combination of recent performance data, opponent tendencies, and contextual factors support these selections.

John Hyslop smiling at camera

John Hyslop smiling at camera

Note: Odds current as of March 14 at FanDuel and DraftKings. Must be 21+ to wager. Please gamble responsibly.

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