Denver Nuggets Betting Guide: ATS Analysis and Trends for 2024-2025 Season
The Denver Nuggets have established themselves as a strong NBA team, with a 39-22 win-loss record and 31-28-1 against the spread (ATS) performance, covering 52.5% of their games as of March 4, 2025.
Basketball swishing through hoop
Home vs. Away Performance
- Home: 17-11 ATS (60.7% cover rate)
- Away: 14-16-1 ATS (46.7% cover rate)
Key Player Impact
- Nikola Jokić: Team's MVP significantly improves both winning and spread-covering probability
- Jamal Murray: Strong correlation between his performance and team's offensive efficiency
Notable Betting Trends:
- Higher cover rate when favored by less than 5 points
- Only 40% cover rate in back-to-back games
- Strong tendency for games to go over projected totals
- More reliable ATS performance at home
Betting Strategy Tips:
- Focus on home games for spread betting
- Monitor injury reports, especially for Jokić and Murray
- Consider betting the over in high-scoring matchups
- Avoid backing them ATS in back-to-back situations
- Look for value when spread is under 5 points
The Nuggets' mixed ATS record suggests careful consideration of these factors when placing bets. Their strong home performance and dependence on key players should guide betting decisions.