Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances: Analyzing Their 58% Odds to Make Postseason

By Michael Harrison

December 7, 2024 at 11:23 AM

The Cincinnati Bengals are surprising the NFL with their 4-2 start, sitting just one game behind the Baltimore Ravens in the division. With improved defensive play and better offensive line protection for Joe Burrow, their playoff chances are looking increasingly promising.

Current Playoff Odds (per New York Times):

  • Overall playoff chances: 58% (up from 52%)
  • Wild card berth: 36%
  • Host wild card game: 13%
  • First-round bye: 6%

Critical Remaining Games:

  1. Divisional Matchups
  • Must avoid sweeps from division rivals
  • First divisional win against Steelers provides momentum
  1. Key Non-Division Games:
  • Week 8 at Jets (must-win against 1-4 team)
  • Week 13 vs 49ers (winnable home game)

Path to Playoffs:

  • Current win total projection exceeds preseason expectations (6.5)
  • Need to capitalize on home games
  • Target: Split remaining division games
  • Minimum 8-9 wins likely needed for playoff spot

The Bengals have positioned themselves well for a playoff push by winning close games and demonstrating improved team chemistry. With their current trajectory and manageable schedule, reaching the postseason appears achievable despite playing in a highly competitive division.

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