Central Michigan vs Toledo Odds, Picks & Expert Preview – MACtion Week 12

Central Michigan vs Toledo Odds, Picks & Expert Preview – MACtion Week 12

By Michael Harrison

November 19, 2024 at 07:58 PM

The Central Michigan Chippewas face the Toledo Rockets in a crucial MAC matchup at the Glass Bowl. Toledo enters as a 14.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 51.5 points.

Central Michigan's offense has struggled due to quarterback injuries. With starter Joe Labas out for the season, they've rotated between Tyler Jefferson and Jadyn Glasser, but neither has found consistent success. Glasser showed promise in their last game, completing 5 of 7 passes and scoring a rushing touchdown.

Football player in Detroit Lions uniform

Football player in Detroit Lions uniform

Toledo's offense is thriving behind quarterback Tucker Gleason, who has thrown for 1,896 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. His top target, Jerjuan Newton, has 49 receptions for 783 yards and 10 touchdowns. The Rockets are coming off an impressive 29-28 comeback win over Eastern Michigan.

The Rockets' defense ranks 31st nationally in yards per play allowed, giving up just 20.7 points per game. Given Central Michigan's recent offensive struggles (20 points in their last two games combined), scoring could be difficult for the Chippewas.

Head-to-Head Analysis:

  • Toledo has won 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in 7 of those 10 games
  • Average score in last 10 meetings: Toledo 34.3, Central Michigan 18.8
  • The under has hit in 8 of the last 10 matchups

Prediction: Toledo's balanced attack and strong defense should lead to a comfortable win. Expect the Rockets to pull away for a 31-10 victory.

Pick: Toledo (-14.5)

Current Odds:

  • Spread: Toledo -14.5
  • Moneyline: Toledo -667, Central Michigan +463
  • Total: 51.5 points
  • Implied Win Probability: Toledo 87%

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