Analyst: Wynn Resort Stake Increase by Fertitta Unlikely to Lead to Takeover

By Michael Harrison

December 12, 2024 at 03:22 AM

Wynn Resorts stock has risen 10.09% following news of Tilman Fertitta increasing his stake to 9.9%, though analysts suggest a takeover is unlikely.

Wynn Encore Vegas casinos at sunset

Wynn Encore Vegas casinos at sunset

GimmeCredit analyst Kim Noland notes that while Fertitta's increased investment has boosted share prices, she doesn't anticipate near-term activist movements or changes in shareholder rewards. Despite Fertitta's history of converting passive stakes into activist positions, as seen with Morton's Restaurant Group and McCormick & Schmick's, there's no current indication of such intentions with Wynn.

Some speculate Fertitta might push for U.S. expansion, leveraging Wynn's brand beyond its current properties - Wynn and Encore Las Vegas, and Encore Boston Harbor. The company's only confirmed upcoming project is Wynn Al Marjan Island in the UAE.

Wynn's financial position remains strong with:

  • Global liquidity near $3.5 billion
  • Recent debt reduction of $1.2 billion
  • Increased share repurchase authorization to $1 billion
  • Continued shareholder dividends

Noland maintains an "outperform" rating on Wynn's 2031 bonds with a 7.125% coupon, citing the company's solid balance sheet and debt reduction efforts. As the second-largest individual shareholder behind Elaine Wynn, Fertitta's increased stake has generated market interest, though a takeover appears unlikely in the near term.

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