Fantasy football busts can significantly impact your season's success. Here are the top 5 potential fantasy football busts for 2021, based on detailed analysis:

1. Alvin Kamara (RB, Saints)

• Previous season: Led in total touchdowns (21) and ranked top 3 in scrimmage yards
• Risk factors:
  • Loss of Drew Brees (who targeted RBs 28% of the time)
  • New QBs (Winston/Hill) historically target RBs less (16.4%)
  • Significant production drop with Taysom Hill at QB

2. Ja'Marr Chase (WR, Bengals)

• Risk factors:
  • Competing with established receivers (Higgins, Boyd)
  • Uncertainty around Burrow's return from injury
  • NFL transition challenges despite LSU connection
• Recommendation: Avoid drafting as a top-30 receiver

3. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB, Chiefs)

• Concerns:
  • Limited scoring ability
  • Decreased usage late in season
  • Small frame raising injury concerns
  • Not a primary weapon in Chiefs' offense

4. Julio Jones (WR, Titans)

• Risk factors:
  • Moving to run-heavy offense
  • Competing with A.J. Brown for targets
  • Derrick Henry remains offensive focal point
  • Different offensive pace than Atlanta

5. Trevor Lawrence (QB, Jaguars)

• Historical context: Only 3 of 8 recent #1 pick QBs finished top-12 in rookie year
• Risk factors:
  • First-time NFL head coach
  • New offensive system
  • Jaguars' rebuilding status
• Currently overvalued as QB9

Remember: Fantasy busts often result from changing circumstances rather than player talent alone.

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