3 Essential Keys to NFL Betting Success in 2021
With the NFL's 2021 season introducing an extra game, here are three essential keys for successful NFL betting:
Research Early Season Changes
- Track roster changes, including player transfers and new coaching staff
- Study previous season's performance metrics from reliable sources like FootballOutsiders and Pro Football Focus
- Allow 2-3 weeks of regular season games to accurately assess team performance
Monitor Betting Trends
- Track which teams consistently cover spreads or hit over/unders
- Identify whether teams are undervalued underdogs or dominant favorites
- Look for teams with strong offenses paired against weak defenses
- Pay attention to scoring patterns and defensive performances
Focus on Line Play and Defense
- Evaluate offensive line quality through pass-blocking and run-blocking grades
- Track defensive metrics including points allowed, yards given up, and pressure rates
- Target matchups where strong offensive lines face weak defensive fronts
- Consider player props when strong offenses face weak defenses
- Remember the Super Bowl lesson: Kansas City's offensive line struggles vs Tampa Bay's dominant defense
Success comes from combining thorough research, trend analysis, and understanding the importance of line play and defense. Target games with clear mismatches between offensive and defensive units for optimal betting opportunities.
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