2025 Big Ten Championship Game Preview: Michigan vs Wisconsin Picks and Best Bets
The Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5) face the Michigan Wolverines in the 2025 Big Ten Tournament final at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis (3:30 pm ET, CBS).
Wisconsin player dribbling basketball in red
Key Prediction: Wisconsin moneyline (-166) at FanDuel
Wisconsin's backcourt advantage with John Tonje (19.5 PPG) and John Blackwell (15.4 PPG) gives them the edge over Michigan. While the Wolverines boast a strong frontcourt with Vladislav Goldin (16.9 PPG) and Danny Wolf (13.3 PPG), Wisconsin's seven-footers Steven Crowl and Nolan Winter can effectively counter their size.
Key Stats:
- Wisconsin: 46th in defensive rebound percentage (73.1%)
- Wisconsin: 39th in two-point field-goal defense (47.0%)
- Wisconsin: 6-0 in neutral-site games (5-1 ATS)
- Michigan: 7-4 in true-road games, 4-2 SU in neutral-site games
Top Player Props:
- John Tonje over 21.5 points (-115)
- Steven Crowl over 5.5 rebounds (-105)
Public Betting Trends:
- 81% of moneyline handle on Wisconsin
- 75% of ATS wagers on Wisconsin
- 68% of total bets on over 148.5
KenPom projects a Wisconsin win (78-74), while Torvik forecasts a three-point Badger victory (77-74). Given Wisconsin's superior guard play and ability to match Michigan's size, expect the Badgers to claim their first Big Ten Tournament title since 2015.